chronos-bolt-small

Maintained By
autogluon

Chronos-Bolt-Small

PropertyValue
Parameter Count47.7M
LicenseApache-2.0
Base ArchitectureT5-efficient-small
PaperChronos: Learning the Language of Time Series

What is chronos-bolt-small?

Chronos-bolt-small is a powerful time series forecasting model that belongs to the innovative Chronos-Bolt family. Built on the T5 encoder-decoder architecture, this model represents a significant advancement in time series analysis, having been trained on nearly 100 billion time series observations. What sets it apart is its ability to perform zero-shot forecasting while being dramatically more efficient than its predecessors.

Implementation Details

The model operates by chunking historical time series data into observation patches that are processed by the encoder. The decoder then utilizes these representations to generate quantile forecasts across multiple future steps through direct multi-step forecasting. This implementation results in performance that is up to 250 times faster and 20 times more memory-efficient than the original Chronos models.

  • Efficient architecture based on T5-efficient-small
  • 47.7M parameters for balanced performance and efficiency
  • Zero-shot forecasting capabilities
  • Direct multi-step forecasting approach

Core Capabilities

  • High-speed inference for large-scale time series forecasting
  • Superior accuracy compared to traditional statistical and deep learning models
  • Ability to handle multiple future step predictions
  • Efficient processing of large observation datasets
  • Probabilistic forecasting with quantile predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What makes this model unique?

The model's ability to perform zero-shot forecasting while maintaining significantly faster inference speeds (up to 250x) and better accuracy than traditional models makes it stand out. It achieves this while being more memory-efficient and requiring no prior exposure to specific datasets.

Q: What are the recommended use cases?

This model is ideal for large-scale time series forecasting applications where speed and accuracy are crucial. It's particularly suitable for scenarios requiring multiple future step predictions and when dealing with previously unseen time series data due to its zero-shot capabilities.

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